Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.042523 0.046173 0.049850 0.053825 0.057995 0.062233 0.066861
2025-09-28 0.037817 0.043310 0.049024 0.055384 0.062243 0.069394 0.077391
2025-10-05 0.032667 0.039361 0.046531 0.054727 0.063782 0.073429 0.084432
2025-10-12 0.029211 0.036858 0.045270 0.055109 0.066203 0.078233 0.092176
2025-10-19 0.026635 0.035064 0.044560 0.055892 0.068896 0.083210 0.100019
2025-10-26 0.024452 0.033505 0.043935 0.056612 0.071387 0.087865 0.107438
2025-11-02 0.021200 0.030414 0.041301 0.054803 0.070807 0.088905 0.110658
2025-11-09 0.019046 0.028492 0.039908 0.054318 0.071647 0.091475 0.115544
2025-11-16 0.017253 0.026885 0.038779 0.054045 0.072649 0.094163 0.120511
2025-11-23 0.016504 0.026557 0.039184 0.055597 0.075799 0.099347 0.128375
2025-11-30 0.015678 0.026062 0.039326 0.056783 0.078480 0.103962 0.135572
2025-12-07 0.014739 0.025345 0.039131 0.057504 0.080562 0.107847 0.141900
2025-12-14 0.013621 0.024338 0.038541 0.057732 0.082073 0.111109 0.147582
2025-12-21 0.013026 0.024030 0.038848 0.059096 0.084993 0.116083 0.155335
2025-12-28 0.011681 0.022549 0.037515 0.058282 0.085146 0.117673 0.159019
2026-01-04 0.010851 0.021769 0.037089 0.058615 0.086719 0.120981 0.164769
2026-01-11 0.010239 0.021274 0.037021 0.059397 0.088845 0.124959 0.171329
2026-01-18 0.009658 0.020786 0.036933 0.060128 0.090894 0.128838 0.177773
2026-01-25 0.008342 0.019028 0.034959 0.058241 0.089500 0.128394 0.178897
2026-02-01 0.007532 0.018029 0.034027 0.057733 0.089867 0.130124 0.182670
2026-02-08 0.006846 0.017185 0.033283 0.057448 0.090499 0.132168 0.186822
2026-02-15 0.006688 0.017250 0.033893 0.059059 0.093648 0.137409 0.194956
2026-02-22 0.006447 0.017147 0.034238 0.060291 0.096293 0.142014 0.202313